The Rams lost four players to injured reserve between Sunday and Tuesday. ESPN's injury feed for this game (fetched Oct 21) lists WR Davante Adams (hamstring), DT Poona Ford (triceps), TE Terrance Ferguson (ankle) and K Blake Grupe (ACL) on IR, and CB Trent McDuffie (groin) QUESTIONABLE. Sean McVay put Adams out six to 10 weeks with a ruptured hamstring tendon (Field Level Media, Oct 20); Ford is out for the season and Grupe's torn ACL ends his (Fantasy Footballers, Oct 19–20). The same outlet reported DE Kobie Turner (groin) headed to IR, 4–6 weeks; ESPN's list did not show him yet.
Adams leads the Rams with 480 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns. ESPN's depth chart now has Brandon McManus at kicker, the team's third of the season.
Las Vegas's side: DT Tonka Hemingway (concussion) is questionable; WRs Jack Bech and Dont'e Thornton Jr. and TE Carter Runyon are on IR.
Sources: ESPN game-summary injury feed and depth charts, event 401873021 (fetched Oct 21); Field Level Media via Yardbarker (Oct 20); thefantasyfootballers.com (Oct 19–20). First official practice report is Wednesday; re-check Thursday.
Rams
Matthew Stafford — 164/249, 1,794 yds, 11 TD, 6 INT, 91.7 rating · 10 sacks taken
Raiders
Hezekiah Masses 3 INT, 6 PD · CB
Darien Porter 5 PD · NB
Taron Johnson 26 tackles · S
Jeremy Chinn 39 tackles, 2 FF · S
Treydan Stukes 1 INTStafford is throwing for 299 yards a game, second among the league's leading passers, but his 6 interceptions are tied for fifth-most among them. Masses has three of the Raiders' four interceptions by himself. Volume favors Los Angeles; the Raiders' only real counter is a takeaway.
Rams
Puka Nacua 37 rec, 417 yds, 1 TD (4 games) · WR
Jordan Whittington · WR
Konata Mumpfield 8 rec, 127 yds · WR
Davante Adams IR (30 rec, 480 yds, 4 TD)
Raiders
Eric Stokes 1 sack, 1 PD · CB
Darien Porter · CB
Hezekiah Masses · NB
Taron JohnsonAdams leads the Rams in receiving yards and touchdowns, and McVay put his absence at six to 10 weeks (Field Level Media, Oct 20). That leaves Nacua with 52 targets in four games and a depth chart that runs Whittington (2 catches) and Mumpfield behind him. The Raiders' corners have 12 passes defended between Masses and Porter. Nacua should win his matchup; the second and third receivers are the problem.
Rams
Nate Landman 51 tackles, 2 FF · LB
Omar Speights 26 tackles, 2 sacks · S
Quentin Lake 2 INT, 8 PD · S
Kam Curl 30 tackles · S
Kamren Kinchens 26 tackles
Raiders
Brock Bowers 28 rec, 382 yds, 3 TD (4 games) · TE
Michael Mayer 28 rec, 266 yds, 1 TDBowers averages 95.5 receiving yards in the four games he has played, and Mayer has matched his catch total. Lake leads the Rams with 8 passes defended and 2 interceptions, but two tight ends this productive are a lot for one nickel safety. Edge to Las Vegas.
Rams
Trent McDuffie 1 INT, 7 PD QUESTIONABLE (groin) · CB
Jaylen Watson 1 INT, 5 PD · CB
Josh Wallace 1 INT, 4 PD
Raiders
Kirk Cousins — 135/213, 1,582 yds, 14 TD, 5 INT, 98.0 rating · 8 sacks taken · rookie
Fernando Mendoza backupCousins has 14 touchdown passes, tied for the most among the 32 leading passers, on a 6.6% touchdown rate (3rd). The Rams have 5 interceptions and 32 passes defended, but McDuffie, their best cover corner by the numbers, is questionable with a groin injury. If he sits, Wallace and Emmanuel Forbes Jr. are next.
Rams
Byron Young 3.5 sacks, 5.5 TFL · LB
Omar Speights 2 · DE
Aaron Donald 2 TFL (4 games) · OLB
Myles Garrett (1 game) · DE
Kobie Turner (reported IR, groin) · DT
Poona Ford IR
Raiders
Kolton Miller · LG
Spencer Burford · C
Tyler Linderbaum · RG
Caleb Rogers · RT
DJ Glaze — 8 sacks allowed, 49 ydsThe Rams have only 8 sacks in six games, and they lose two interior players this week: Ford is out for the season and Turner was reported headed to IR (Fantasy Footballers, Oct 20). Cousins's 3.6% sack rate is third-best among leading passers. Unless Garrett plays real snaps, this is the Raiders' line's edge.
Rams
Alaric Jackson · LG
Steve Avila · C
Coleman Shelton · RG
Kevin Dotson · RT
Warren McClendon Jr. — 10 sacks allowed, 75 yds
Raiders
Kwity Paye 3 sacks · DE
Malcolm Koonce 3, 2 FF · OLB
Maxx Crosby 2 · LB
Quay Walker 2 · LB
Nakobe Dean 1.5, 3 FF · DT
Tonka Hemingway QUESTIONABLE (concussion)Las Vegas has 15 sacks to the Rams' 8 and has spread them out. Stafford's sack rate (3.9%) is still fifth-best, so the Rams' line is not the weakness; the Raiders' edge here is the forced fumbles (Dean 3, Koonce 2) and 6 fumble recoveries.
Rams
Kyren Williams 80 car, 393 yds, 4 TD; 30 rec, 217 yds · RB
Blake Corum 47 car, 223 yds, 1 TD
Raiders
Nakobe Dean 56 tackles, 4.5 TFL · LB
Quay Walker 40 tackles · NT
Adam Butler · DT
Jonah LauluThe Rams run for 112.7 yards a game at 4.6 a carry, and Williams is also their third-leading receiver. With Adams out he is likely to see more targets (Field Level Media, Oct 20). Dean leads Las Vegas with 56 tackles, but the Raiders' run defense has no counter to a back used this much in the passing game.
Rams
Nate Landman · NT
Ty Hamilton · DE
Braden Fiske · DT
Poona Ford IR
Raiders
Ashton Jeanty 98 car, 313 yds, 1 TD (3.2); 26 rec, 251 yds, 2 TD · RB
Mike Washington Jr. 34 car, 168 ydsLas Vegas runs for 79.2 yards a game at 3.0 a carry, and Jeanty is at 3.2. His value is as a receiver (251 yards). Ford's loss hurts the Rams' interior, but the Raiders have not shown they can punish anyone on the ground.
Rams
Tyler Higbee 24 rec, 246 yds, 1 TD · TE
Colby Parkinson 9 rec, 55 yds · TE
Terrance Ferguson IR
Raiders
Brock Bowers 28 rec, 382 yds, 3 TD · TE
Michael Mayer 28 rec, 266 yds · TE
Ian Thomas 4 rec, 52 yds, 1 TDLas Vegas's two tight ends have 56 catches and 648 yards; the Rams' three healthy ones have 39 and 364, and Ferguson just went on IR.
Rams
Brandon McManus (top of ESPN's depth chart; no Rams kicks yet) ·
Harrison Mevis 5 of 9, long 48 ·
Blake Grupe IR (ACL)
Raiders
Matt Gay — 14 of 15, long 59The Rams are on their third kicker of the season after Grupe tore his ACL against Arizona; their kickers are 6 of 10 on field goals between them. Gay has missed once. In a game the market has at 4.5, that is a real edge.
Rams
Ethan Evans — 48.3 gross, 38.4 net, 6 of 19 inside the 20
Raiders
AJ Cole — 50.6 gross, 45.0 net, 8 of 22 inside the 20Cole is more than six yards better net.
Rams
Alex Bachman 24.0 KR, 5.7 PR · KR
Jordan Whittington 25.9 KR ·
Xavier Smith 9.9 PR
Raiders
Dylan Laube 29.8 KR ·
Dareke Young 25.2 KR · PR
Malik Benson 13.6 PRLas Vegas is ahead on both kickoffs and punts.
Answer: top of the league in volume, middle of the pack in efficiency, and the receiver room just lost its best player. Against the other 31 teams' leading passers, Stafford is 2nd in yards per game (299.0), 12th in completion rate, 15th in yards per attempt and 18th in rating. The weak spot is interceptions: 6, tied for fifth-most. Cousins, across the field, is 13th in rating (98.0), tied for 1st in touchdown passes (14) and 3rd in sack rate.
| Stat | Stafford | Rank | Cousins | Rank | League median | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passer rating | 91.7 | 18 | 98.0 | 13 | 91.9 | Lamar Jackson 119.6 |
| Completion % | 65.9 | 12 | 63.4 | 21 | 64.6 | Caleb Williams 72.5 |
| Yards per attempt | 7.2 | 15 | 7.4 | 14 | 7.1 | Lamar Jackson 10.1 |
| Pass yards per game | 299.0 | 2 | 263.7 | 8 | 238.9 | Bryce Young 309.8 |
| TD % | 4.4 | 18 | 6.6 | 3 | 4.6 | Brock Purdy 8.2 |
| INT % (lowest = 1st) | 2.4 | 25 | 2.3 | 24 | 2.0 | Jared Goff 0.0 |
| Sack % (lowest = 1st) | 3.9 | 5 | 3.6 | 3 | 6.2 | Dak Prescott 2.8 |
| QB rushing yards | 21 | 27 | −2 | 32 | 65.5 | Josh Allen 240 |
Each team's leading passer by yards (32 players), ESPN 2026 season statistics fetched 2026-10-21. Sack % = sacks / (attempts + sacks). Ties are shown at the higher rank.
Las Vegas Sun (Jul 28, 2026) and theScore/NBC Sports on the Cousins decision, via search Oct 21; Field Level Media (Oct 20). Coordinator names on the Rams' side and the Raiders' defensive coordinator were not confirmed this turn and are left out.
Missed-tackle counts through Week 6 were not found on a page opened this turn, so this section stays on tackling volume from ESPN's season stats.
Who is making the stops. Las Vegas: Nakobe Dean 56 tackles and 3 forced fumbles, Quay Walker 40, Jeremy Chinn 39. Los Angeles: Nate Landman 51, Quentin Lake 42, Kam Curl 30.
Why it matters Sunday. The Raiders have 6 fumble recoveries; the Rams have 1. Kyren Williams will touch the ball 20-plus times without Adams, and Dean's three forced fumbles are the Raiders' best path to the turnover the market is not pricing.
ESPN 2026 player statistics, fetched Oct 21. Refresh Thursday with PFR/PFF missed-tackle data.
Mack's ratings and the market disagree by almost three points. Mack has the Rams winning 55% of the time with a fair line of Raiders +1.7; DraftKings has Rams −4.5 and ESPN's Matchup Predictor gives the Rams 66.7%. That makes the Raiders the spread side, and the Over the total side at 48.5.
| Mack | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| Line | Raiders +1.7 | Rams −4.5 |
| Rams win probability | 55% | ESPN predictor 66.7% |
| Straight-up pick | Rams | |
| Spread side | Raiders +4.5 | |
| Total | Over | 48.5 |
What the week has added. The ratings were frozen before the Rams' injury wave: Adams, Ford and Grupe gone, Turner reported to IR, McDuffie questionable. Every one of those pushes toward the Raiders' side, not away from it.
What would change it. McDuffie clearing Friday and Garrett taking a full workload would narrow the gap; the line moving to Rams −3 or below takes most of the value out of Raiders +4.5. On the total, Raiders games have averaged 54.0 combined points and Rams games 45.5; the Over leans on Las Vegas.
Odds and predictor: DraftKings via ESPN game summary 401873021, fetched Oct 21. Mack's numbers frozen at the board build.
| Unit | Rams | Raiders | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scoring | 22.5 points a game; 135 scored, 138 allowed | 27.0 points a game; 162 scored, 162 allowed | Raiders |
| Las Vegas scores 4.5 more a game; the Rams allow 23.0 a game to the Raiders' 27.0, so the margins are close to even (−3 and 0). | |||
| Passing offense | 288.7 net yards a game · 91.5 team rating · 7.2 per attempt | 263.5 net yards a game · 97.7 rating · 7.4 per attempt | Even |
| The Rams throw for more; Cousins throws more touchdowns. Adams's injury tilts this toward Las Vegas from here. | |||
| Rushing offense | 112.7 yards a game · 4.6 a carry | 79.2 yards a game · 3.0 a carry | Rams |
| The biggest statistical gap on the page. | |||
| Protection | 10 sacks allowed, 75 yds | 8 sacks allowed, 49 yds | Raiders |
| Both lines are top-five by sack rate; Las Vegas is slightly cleaner. | |||
| Pass rush and havoc | 8 sacks · 25 TFL · 32 PD | 15 sacks · 26 TFL · 23 PD | Raiders |
| Las Vegas nearly doubles the Rams' sacks; the Rams get their hands on more balls. | |||
| Takeaways | 6 (5 INT, 1 fumble) · 9 giveaways · −3 | 10 (4 INT, 6 fumbles) · 8 giveaways · +2 | Raiders |
| A five-point turnover-margin gap. | |||
| Third down | 44.0% | 42.3% | Even |
| Both good, within two points. | |||
| Red zone TD % | 65.2% | 52.2% | Rams |
| The Rams finish drives; Las Vegas settles for Gay more often. | |||
| Special teams | Third kicker of the year · Evans 38.4 net | Gay 14/15, long 59 · Cole 45.0 net | Raiders |
| Clear Las Vegas edge in every phase. | |||
Points scored and allowed summed from the six ESPN results for each team (weeks 1–6); other figures ESPN 2026 team statistics, fetched Oct 21.